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| #1241193 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 12.Aug.2025) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 1500 UTC TUE AUG 12 2025 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 36.3W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 36.3W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 35.4W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.8N 39.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.5N 42.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.6N 45.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.1N 48.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.8N 51.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.5N 54.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 19.8N 60.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 21.4N 65.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 36.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
