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| #1241987 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 18.Aug.2025) TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC TUE AUG 19 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 71.7W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....420NE 360SE 180SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 71.7W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 71.4W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.4N 72.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.1N 73.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.2N 73.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 170SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.4N 73.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT...210NE 230SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 50 KT...140NE 150SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...230NE 250SE 200SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 35.4N 70.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 50 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW. 34 KT...250NE 280SE 220SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 38.5N 62.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...270NE 290SE 240SW 240NW. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 41.1N 54.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 280SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 71.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
