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Tropical Storm Fernand becomes the sixth name to form at approx 25% of the way through a typical full season. Watching #99L very closely as well. #TropicalStormFernand
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 318 (Milton) , Major: 318 (Milton) Florida - Any: 318 (Milton) Major: 318 (Milton)
29.7N 60.7W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1010mb
Moving:
Nne at 15 mph
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#1242627 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 PM 23.Aug.2025)
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FERNAND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062025
2100 UTC SAT AUG 23 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 61.4W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 61.4W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 61.7W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.0N 61.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.4N 60.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 33.6N 59.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 35.8N 58.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 40SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 38.2N 56.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE 30SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 41.3N 54.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 90SE 30SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 47.0N 44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 61.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE