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Watching a 20% area in the east Antialnic. Conditions ahead of it are not very condusive for development. Right now, odds keep it likely weak/no development and it curves east of Bermuda.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 323 (Milton) , Major: 323 (Milton) Florida - Any: 323 (Milton) Major: 323 (Milton)
 
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#1242754 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:33 PM 24.Aug.2025)
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FERNAND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062025
2100 UTC SUN AUG 24 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 59.8W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 59.8W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 60.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 33.2N 58.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 35.1N 57.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 30SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 37.6N 55.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 30SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 40.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 70SE 30SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 43.0N 49.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 59.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE