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Watching a 20% area in the east Antialnic. Conditions ahead of it are not very condusive for development. Right now, odds keep it likely weak/no development and it curves east of Bermuda.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 323 (Milton) , Major: 323 (Milton) Florida - Any: 323 (Milton) Major: 323 (Milton)
 
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#1242979 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:33 PM 26.Aug.2025)
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FERNAND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062025
2100 UTC TUE AUG 26 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 53.4W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 53.4W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 54.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 38.8N 51.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 40.1N 48.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 41.8N 44.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 43.7N 37.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.1N 53.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG