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Watching a 20% area in the east Antialnic. Conditions ahead of it are not very condusive for development. Right now, odds keep it likely weak/no development and it curves east of Bermuda.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 323 (Milton) , Major: 323 (Milton) Florida - Any: 323 (Milton) Major: 323 (Milton)
 
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#1243029 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 AM 27.Aug.2025)
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FERNAND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062025
0900 UTC WED AUG 27 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 50.8W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 90SE 80SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 50NE 90SE 80SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 50.8W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 51.4W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 39.3N 48.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 41.3N 44.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 70SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 43.3N 38.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 45.2N 30.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N 50.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN