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Watching a 20% area in the east Antialnic. Conditions ahead of it are not very condusive for development. Right now, odds keep it likely weak/no development and it curves east of Bermuda.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 323 (Milton) , Major: 323 (Milton) Florida - Any: 323 (Milton) Major: 323 (Milton)
 
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#1243106 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 27.Aug.2025)
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FERNAND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062025
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 45.5W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 150SE 150SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 45.5W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 46.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 41.7N 41.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 43.7N 35.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N 45.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH