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| #1245424 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:57 PM 19.Sep.2025) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Gabrielle Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072025 1100 PM AST Fri Sep 19 2025 ...GABRIELLE FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.6N 57.2W ABOUT 535 MI...855 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 760 MI...1220 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Gabrielle. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gabrielle was located near latitude 23.6 North, longitude 57.2 West. Gabrielle is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A gradual turn towards the north-northwest is expected by Sunday, followed by a northward motion by Sunday night. On the forecast track, the center of Gabrielle is expected to pass east of Bermuda Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and Gabrielle is expected to become a hurricane by Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Gabrielle can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. SURF: Swells generated by Gabrielle are expected to reach Bermuda soon and build through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Bucci |
