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| #1245634 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 PM 21.Sep.2025) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Gabrielle Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072025 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 21 2025 ...GABRIELLE FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD SOON... ...FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.2N 62.2W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Gabrielle. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gabrielle was located near latitude 29.2 North, longitude 62.2 West. Gabrielle is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the north is forecast on Monday, followed by a faster northeastward or east-northeastward motion on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Gabrielle is expected to pass east of Bermuda on Monday evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast over the next day or so, and Gabrielle could become a major hurricane Monday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Gabrielle can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. SURF: Swells generated by Gabrielle will continue to affect Bermuda during the next few days. These swells are now reaching the east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward, as well as Atlantic Canada, and are expected to continue through the early part this week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Hagen |
