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| #1245921 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 PM 24.Sep.2025) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Gabrielle Advisory Number 32 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072025 500 PM AST Wed Sep 24 2025 ...GABRIELLE RACING EASTWARD ACROSS THE SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS WHEN IT PASSES NEAR OR OVER THE AZORES LATE THURSDAY OR EARLY FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.0N 45.2W ABOUT 1010 MI...1630 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * All of the Azores A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm- force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gabrielle was located near latitude 36.0 North, longitude 45.2 West. Gabrielle is moving toward the east near 28 mph (44 km/h). An eastward to east-northeastward motion is expected during the next couple of days, followed by a slower eastward to east-southeastward motion this weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Gabrielle will approach the Azores during the day on Thursday, and move across the island chain late Thursday into early Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next few days, but Gabrielle is forecast to be at hurricane strength when it passes through the Azores. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Gabrielle can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the Azores Thursday night into early Friday, with tropical storm conditions likely by Thursday evening. Significant hurricane-force wind gusts are likely across portions of the Azores even after the center passes. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds in the Azores. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: From Thursday into Friday morning, Gabrielle may bring 3 to 5 inches, or 75 to 125 mm, of rainfall across the central and western Azores. During the same time, outer bands from Gabrielle may also result in 1 to 2 inches, or 25 to 50 mm, of rain across the eastern Azores. SURF: Swells generated by Gabrielle will continue to affect Bermuda over the next couple of days, and the U.S. East Coast from North Carolina northward and Atlantic Canada over the next day or so. Swells from Gabrielle will begin reaching the Azores on Thursday. These swells are expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products issued by your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart |
