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| #1246220 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 AM 27.Sep.2025) TCMAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025 0900 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 75.8W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 75.8W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 75.6W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.5N 76.4W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 23.8N 77.0W...TROPICAL STORM MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 25.3N 77.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.0N 77.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.8N 78.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 30.2N 78.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 31.5N 78.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 31.5N 77.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 75.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 27/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
