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Unfavorable conditions for development in Gulf but a weak low may form near Florida with 10% odds, likely just rain. Tropical Atlantic to watch later this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 357 (Milton) , Major: 357 (Milton) Florida - Any: 357 (Milton) Major: 357 (Milton)
PTC Imelda
ADV#24 11:00 am EDT
33.2N 59.5W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 980mb
Moving:
Ene at 29 mph
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#1246221 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 AM 27.Sep.2025)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082025
0900 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 59.3W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE 105SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 59.3W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 58.9W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.6N 60.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 23.3N 62.3W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 24.4N 64.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 25.8N 66.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 27.3N 67.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.1N 68.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 33.4N 66.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 37.7N 56.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 110SW 80NW.
34 KT...230NE 220SE 170SW 210NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 59.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI