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Unfavorable conditions for development in Gulf but a weak low may form near Florida with 10% odds, likely just rain. Tropical Atlantic to watch later this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 357 (Milton) , Major: 357 (Milton) Florida - Any: 357 (Milton) Major: 357 (Milton)
PTC Imelda
ADV#24 11:00 am EDT
33.2N 59.5W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 980mb
Moving:
Ene at 29 mph
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#1246246 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 AM 27.Sep.2025)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082025
1500 UTC SAT SEP 27 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 60.2W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE 105SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 60.2W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 59.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.1N 61.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.1N 63.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 25.5N 65.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.1N 66.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.0N 67.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.3N 68.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 35.4N 64.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 190SE 150SW 170NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 40.8N 50.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...350NE 300SE 300SW 250NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 60.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY