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Unfavorable conditions for development in Gulf but a weak low may form near Florida with 10% odds, likely just rain. Tropical Atlantic to watch later this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 357 (Milton) , Major: 357 (Milton) Florida - Any: 357 (Milton) Major: 357 (Milton)
PTC Imelda
ADV#24 11:00 am EDT
33.2N 59.5W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 980mb
Moving:
Ene at 29 mph
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#1246317 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 27.Sep.2025)
TCMAT3

HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082025
0300 UTC SUN SEP 28 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 62.1W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 924 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 62.1W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 61.6W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.1N 63.5W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 25.4N 65.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.1N 66.9W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.1N 68.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.9N 68.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.2N 67.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 37.0N 58.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 160SW 170NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 44.7N 41.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...350NE 320SE 280SW 250NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 62.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS