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Unfavorable conditions for development in Gulf but a weak low may form near Florida with 10% odds, likely just rain. Tropical Atlantic to watch later this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 357 (Milton) , Major: 357 (Milton) Florida - Any: 357 (Milton) Major: 357 (Milton)
PTC Imelda
ADV#24 11:00 am EDT
33.2N 59.5W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 980mb
Moving:
Ene at 29 mph
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#1246319 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 PM 27.Sep.2025)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
0300 UTC SUN SEP 28 2025

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 76.7W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 76.7W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 76.6W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 23.6N 77.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 25.5N 77.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.3N 77.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 28.7N 78.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.9N 78.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 30.4N 77.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 31.0N 75.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 65SE 55SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 130SW 190NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 31.5N 71.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...250NE 140SE 140SW 250NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 76.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 28/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN