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Unfavorable conditions for development in Gulf but a weak low may form near Florida with 10% odds, likely just rain. Tropical Atlantic to watch later this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 357 (Milton) , Major: 357 (Milton) Florida - Any: 357 (Milton) Major: 357 (Milton)
PTC Imelda
ADV#24 11:00 am EDT
33.2N 59.5W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 980mb
Moving:
Ene at 29 mph
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#1246358 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 AM 28.Sep.2025)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
0900 UTC SUN SEP 28 2025

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 77.2W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 77.2W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 77.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 24.1N 77.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 25.7N 77.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 27.4N 77.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.8N 77.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 29.5N 77.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 29.9N 75.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 130SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 30.6N 72.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 31.7N 66.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...320NE 160SE 160SW 300NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 77.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 28/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE