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Unfavorable conditions for development in Gulf but a weak low may form near Florida with 10% odds, likely just rain. Tropical Atlantic to watch later this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 357 (Milton) , Major: 357 (Milton) Florida - Any: 357 (Milton) Major: 357 (Milton)
PTC Imelda
ADV#24 11:00 am EDT
33.2N 59.5W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 980mb
Moving:
Ene at 29 mph
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#1246455 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 28.Sep.2025)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
0300 UTC MON SEP 29 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 77.1W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 77.1W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 77.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 26.3N 77.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 27.9N 77.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 28.8N 76.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 29.4N 74.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 55SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 130SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 30.2N 72.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 65SE 55SW 55NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 130SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 31.2N 68.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 40SE 35SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 75SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 160SW 210NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 33.4N 61.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 85SE 80SW 75NW.
34 KT...230NE 190SE 180SW 220NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 36.5N 56.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 70SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...330NE 200SE 160SW 240NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 77.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 29/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH