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Unfavorable conditions for development in Gulf but a weak low may form near Florida with 10% odds, likely just rain. Tropical Atlantic to watch later this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 357 (Milton) , Major: 357 (Milton) Florida - Any: 357 (Milton) Major: 357 (Milton)
PTC Imelda
ADV#24 11:00 am EDT
33.2N 59.5W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 980mb
Moving:
Ene at 29 mph
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#1246525 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 AM 29.Sep.2025)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
1500 UTC MON SEP 29 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 77.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 40SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 77.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 77.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 28.0N 77.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.0N 75.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 29.7N 73.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 55SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 170SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 30.8N 70.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 55NE 65SE 55SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 130SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.3N 65.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 45SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 75SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...210NE 220SE 160SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 33.7N 60.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 45SE 50SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 85SE 75SW 70NW.
34 KT...250NE 240SE 180SW 280NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 38.0N 53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...320NE 230SE 210SW 250NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 43.0N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 100SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT...230NE 180SE 180SW 160NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 77.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 29/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN