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| #1246662 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:36 PM 30.Sep.2025) TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Imelda Intermediate Advisory Number 16A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092025 200 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025 ...IMELDA A LITTLE STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.2N 75.9W ABOUT 690 MI...1115 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Imelda was located near latitude 29.2 North, longitude 75.9 West. Imelda is moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A generally east-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the hurricane should continue to move away from the Bahamas today, and will approach Bermuda Wednesday afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Hurricane Imelda can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected over Bermuda by Wednesday evening, with tropical storm conditions likely by Wednesday afternoon. RAINFALL: Across Bermuda, 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) of rainfall are expected from Wednesday into Thursday, which could lead to flash flooding. STORM SURGE: In Bermuda, a dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds. The surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves. SURF: Swells generated by Hurricane Imelda and Hurricane Humberto are affecting the Bahamas and are currently spreading to much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
