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Unfavorable conditions for development in Gulf but a weak low may form near Florida with 10% odds, likely just rain. Tropical Atlantic to watch later this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 357 (Milton) , Major: 357 (Milton) Florida - Any: 357 (Milton) Major: 357 (Milton)
PTC Imelda
ADV#24 11:00 am EDT
33.2N 59.5W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 980mb
Moving:
Ene at 29 mph
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#1246718 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 PM 30.Sep.2025)
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
0300 UTC WED OCT 01 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 73.9W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 50SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 330SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 73.9W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 74.6W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 30.7N 70.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...250NE 170SE 130SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.2N 65.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 210SE 170SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 33.9N 60.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 60SE 70SW 70NW.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 180SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 35.4N 54.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 60SE 70SW 70NW.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 180SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.9N 50.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 60SE 70SW 70NW.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 180SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 39.9N 48.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 220SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 45.4N 41.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 240NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 51.6N 30.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N 73.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 01/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI