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Unfavorable conditions for development in Gulf but a weak low may form near Florida with 10% odds, likely just rain. Tropical Atlantic to watch later this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 357 (Milton) , Major: 357 (Milton) Florida - Any: 357 (Milton) Major: 357 (Milton)
PTC Imelda
ADV#24 11:00 am EDT
33.2N 59.5W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 980mb
Moving:
Ene at 29 mph
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#1246891 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 AM 02.Oct.2025)
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
0900 UTC THU OCT 02 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 61.9W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 35SE 40SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT.......120NE 220SE 120SW 170NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 300SE 360SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 61.9W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 63.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 33.5N 57.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 30SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 45NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 160SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 35.0N 52.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 0SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 180SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 37.2N 50.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...250NE 240SE 210SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 39.8N 48.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT...250NE 240SE 230SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 42.8N 45.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 230SE 230SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 45.8N 41.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 49.2N 32.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 110SE 150SW 150NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 50.8N 25.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.8N 61.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 02/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN