|
Show Selection: |
| #1248487 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 15.Oct.2025) TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Lorenzo Discussion Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122025 1100 AM AST Wed Oct 15 2025 Lorenzo continues to struggle to maintain organized, deep convection. Unfortunately, there are no new satellite microwave or scatterometer data available to diagnose the state of the low-level circulation. Visible imagery suggests that the center is elongated, but the convective remnants are still obscuring the near-surface structure. The initial intensity is held at 35 kt, consistent with the TAFB and AiDT satellite estimates. The tropical storm is moving north-northeastward at 12 kt. A turn toward the northeast with an accelerated motion is expected later today as Lorenzo becomes caught up in strong southwesterly flow. Model guidance indicates the system will dissipate within 24 hours, though this could much occur sooner. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/1500Z 21.5N 44.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 16/0000Z 23.7N 42.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci |
