Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 199531 Years of Hurricanes Without the Hype - Since 1995
Two Areas of Interest in the Atlantic: 95L and 96L. Neither are any obvious or immediate threat to land.
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| #1273047 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:54 AM 23.Jul.2026) TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Bertha Discussion Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1000 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026 The center of Bertha has been moving along or just offshore of southwestern Louisiana coast during the past few hours. Data from the Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft suggest that the circulation is becoming increasingly elongated, likely due to the storm`s persistent convective asymmetry. In fact, infrared satellite and radar images show almost all of the convection is located south of the center, and there is large region of heavy rain and embedded thunderstorms approaching the Texas coast. The initial intensity is held at 40 kt, but these winds are occurring offshore over the southern half of the circulation. The storm has been moving erratically over the past 12 hours or so, but smoothing through the wobbles and potential center reformations yields a westward motion at 9 kt. Bertha is expected to move a little faster to the west, on the south side of a mid-level ridge, and that should bring the storm inland over Texas late this afternoon or evening. Due to the poor structure of Bertha and expected continued northerly vertical wind shear, little change is intensity is anticipated before the storm makes its final landfall in Texas. Bertha will likely become a weak remnant low or dissipate entirely in about 24 hours. Key Messages: 1. Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread westward along the northwestern Gulf Coast from south central Louisiana to the upper Texas coast today. 2. A Coastal Flood Warning remains in effect for portions of the Mississippi and Louisiana coastlines, where moderate coastal flooding continues. 3. Isolated flash flooding is possible along the Texas Gulf Coast and South Texas through tonight. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/1500Z 29.6N 93.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 24/0000Z 29.7N 95.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 24H 24/1200Z 29.3N 98.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi |
