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| #1275219 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:03 AM 13.Aug.2026) TCDAT3 Tropical Depression Cristobal Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032026 900 AM GMT Thu Aug 13 2026 Recent OSCAT data showed that Cristobal has weaken to a tropical depression with max winds around 30 kt. The cyclone continues to have a lack of deep convection based on satellite images. The most current TAFB intensity estimates with a Final T number of 1.5 and maximum winds of 30 kt. As a result, the initial intensity has been brought down to 30 kt for this advisory. Based on the increasingly harsh environmental conditions that the storm is entering as well as the latest model guidance, Cristobal is expected to continue weakening, and it is unlikely that convection will make a comeback. Thus, the NHC forecast now calls for Cristobal to become a remnant low within the next 12 h, with dissipation following soon after. The current motion estimate is east-northeastward, or 075/14 kt. The cyclone is expected to turn a bit more northeastward over the next 12 h, and barely any changes have been made to the previous NHC track prediction. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/0900Z 38.6N 38.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 13/1800Z 40.1N 36.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Katz/Beven |
