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| #1279414 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:57 AM 20.Sep.2026) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 1500 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 33.0W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 4 M SEAS.... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 33.0W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 33.1W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 34.3N 32.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.9N 32.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 32.9N 32.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 31.7N 34.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.6N 35.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.8N 37.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 28.8N 41.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 33.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KATZ/PASCH |
