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| #1279796 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 PM 23.Sep.2026) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 2100 UTC WED SEP 23 2026 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 39.2W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 39.2W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 38.8W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.9N 40.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.9N 41.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 29.9N 42.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 29.7N 43.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 29.5N 44.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 29.5N 45.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 39.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KATZ/PASCH |
