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| #143719 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 31.Jul.2007) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032007 1500 UTC TUE JUL 31 2007 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 62.7W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 25 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 150SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 200SE 150SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 62.7W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 63.7W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 43.0N 59.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 175SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 47.0N 52.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 200SE 100SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 51.2N 44.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 250SE 120SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 56.0N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 250SE 150SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 60.0N 27.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 125SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...300NE 250SE 250SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 62.0N 20.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 64.5N 12.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.2N 62.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
