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| #145940 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 14.Aug.2007) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 2100 UTC TUE AUG 14 2007 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 41.0W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 41.0W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 40.2W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 11.7N 43.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 12.0N 46.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.3N 50.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.6N 53.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 40SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.0N 59.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 15.5N 64.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 17.5N 69.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 41.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/KNABB |
