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| #145996 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 14.Aug.2007) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 0300 UTC WED AUG 15 2007 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 42.3W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 42.3W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 41.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 12.2N 44.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 12.4N 48.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.8N 51.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.4N 55.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 16.0N 66.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 17.5N 71.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 42.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
