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| #146071 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:43 AM 15.Aug.2007) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007 700 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007 ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN LATER TODAY... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM FREEPORT SOUTHWARD...AND FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.0 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES...450 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND ABOUT 310 MILES...500 KM...EAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE LOWER OR MIDDLE TEXAS COAST THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. REPEATING THE 700 AM CDT POSITION...24.7 N...93.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
