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| #146092 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 15.Aug.2007) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007 1000 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007 ...NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS THE DEPRESSION POORLY ORGANIZED...BUT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN LATER TODAY... AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM FREEPORT SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES...405 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND ABOUT 290 MILES...470 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE LOWER OR MIDDLE TEXAS COAST THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL. SOME RAINBANDS WITH GUSTY WINDS ARE ALREADY APPROACHING THE TEXAS COAST. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...25.4 N...93.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
