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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
 
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#146149 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 15.Aug.2007)
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007
2100 UTC WED AUG 15 2007

AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TEXAS
COAST HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHEASTWARD TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM SAN LUIS PASS
SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 94.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 94.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 93.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 27.2N 95.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.0N 97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.0N 99.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.0N 100.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 94.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA