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| #146176 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:40 PM 15.Aug.2007) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007 700 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2007 ...ERIN REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AS IT APPROACHES THE TEXAS COAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM SAN LUIS PASS SOUTHWARD TO BROWNSVILLE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND ABOUT 195 MILES...310 KM...SOUTH OF GALVESTON TEXAS. ERIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL THURSDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS MAY BE EXPERIENCED IN A FEW COASTAL LOCATIONS TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...26.5 N...95.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
