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#146222 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:49 AM 16.Aug.2007) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007 100 AM CDT THU AUG 16 2007 ...ERIN APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST WITH ASSOCIATED RAINBANDS MOVING ONSHORE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM SAN LUIS PASS SOUTHWARD TO BROWNSVILLE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.1 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES...205 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 215 MILES...350 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. ERIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF ERIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO ERIN MAKING LANDFALL LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A NOAA BUOY NORTH OF THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 42 MPH. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS MAY BE EXPERIENCED IN A FEW COASTAL LOCATIONS TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST ON THURSDAY. REPEATING THE 100 AM CDT POSITION...26.5 N...95.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER RHOME |