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| #146249 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:55 AM 16.Aug.2007) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERIN ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007 400 AM CDT THU AUG 16 2007 ...ERIN NEARING THE COAST OF TEXAS AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM... AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST FROM PORT MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO BROWNSVILLE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM SAN LUIS PASS SOUTHWARD TO PORT MANSFIELD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.7 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 90 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 180 MILES...290 KM...SOUTHWEST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. ERIN HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO ERIN MAKING LANDFALL. ONCE INLAND...ERIN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. A NOAA BUOY NORTH OF THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 45 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS MAY BE EXPERIENCED IN A FEW COASTAL LOCATIONS TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST ON THURSDAY. REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...27.3 N...96.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN |
