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| #146867 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 18.Aug.2007) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 0300 UTC SUN AUG 19 2007 AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER...AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS STILL IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA...AND FOR COAST OF HAITI NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 11 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...AND ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDING WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 71.7W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 918 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 150SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 71.7W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 71.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.8N 74.3W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.6N 77.8W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.4N 81.4W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.3N 85.1W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.0N 92.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 23.0N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 24.0N 101.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 71.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB/ROBERTS |
