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| #146895 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 AM 19.Aug.2007) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 0900 UTC SUN AUG 19 2007 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM WEST OF THE HAITI-DOMINICAN BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 5 AM EDT....0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HAITI NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS... CIENFUEGOS... MATANZAS...AND ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDING WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 73.4W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 921 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 150SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 73.4W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 72.6W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.1N 76.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.9N 79.5W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.7N 83.0W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N 86.6W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.0N 93.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 99.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 23.5N 103.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 73.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN |
