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| #147217 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:46 AM 21.Aug.2007) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 700 AM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007 ...DEAN MOVING OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF BELIZE AND ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF PROGRESO SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO VERACRUZ. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO TAMPICO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO PROGRESSO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. THIS WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...60 KM...NORTHWEST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 135 MILES...220 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO. DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR... AND A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ALTHOUGH CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS DEAN CROSSES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...DEAN IS EXPECTED TO STILL BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT REACHES THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 935 MB...27.61 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY. WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO... BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 700 AM CDT POSITION...18.9 N...88.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/RHOME |
