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| #147249 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:46 PM 21.Aug.2007) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 100 PM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007 ...DEAN ABOUT TO EMERGE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... AT 2 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN...AND HAS ALSO DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CANCUN TO PROGRESO. AT 2PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BELIZE. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF PROGRESO WESTWARD TO TAMPICO. PREPARATIONS IN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA PESCA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO. DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF DEAN WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE IN A COUPLE OF HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AFTER DEAN ENTERS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY. WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO...INCLUDING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...19.2 N...90.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/RHOME |
