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| #147371 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 21.Aug.2007) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 1000 PM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007 ...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS DEAN WITH 80 MPH WINDS... AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM PROGRESO SOUTHWARD TO CAMPECHE. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF CAMPECHE WESTWARD TO TAMPICO. PREPARATIONS IN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD TO BAHIA ALGODONES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO BAHIA ALGODONES. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.0 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES... 345 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 295 MILES...475 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO. DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL COAST ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATIC STATION LOCATED AT CAYO ARCAS RECENTLY REPORTED WINDS GUSTS TO 72 MPH...116 KM/HR. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS. REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...19.9 N...93.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
