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#147489 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 22.Aug.2007) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 400 PM CDT WED AUG 22 2007 ...DEAN NOW A TROPICAL STORM INLAND OVER MEXICO... AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING AND ADJUSTED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PALMA SOLA NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEAN WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.1 WEST OR 40 MILES...65 KM...WEST OF POZA RICA MEXICO. DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS... ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED UNTIL DEAN DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL MEXICO TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS EVENING. DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...20.5 N...98.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI |