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#147510 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:34 PM 22.Aug.2007) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 39A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 700 PM CDT WED AUG 22 2007 ...DEAN RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO... AT 7 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEAN WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST OR 75 MILES...120 KM...NORTH OF MEXICO CITY. DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT DEAN IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER. DEAN IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL MEXICO TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES...120 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...20.5 N...99.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA/BLAKE |