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| #148888 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:55 AM 01.Sep.2007) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 0900 UTC SAT SEP 01 2007 AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES AND ARUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF ARUBA... BONAIRE AND CURACAO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 5 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TOBAGO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM CUMANA TO PEDERNALES INCLUDING THE ISLAND OF MARGARITA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 62.0W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 62.0W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 61.2W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.8N 64.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.4N 67.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.1N 71.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.6N 74.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.5N 81.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 16.5N 86.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 18.0N 91.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 62.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
