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#148973 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 01.Sep.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 500 PM AST SAT SEP 01 2007 ...FELIX CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD...COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF ARUBA...BONAIRE AND CURACAO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST OR ABOUT 310 MILES...500 KM EAST OF ARUBA AND ABOUT 395 MILES...640 KM...SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...FELIX WILL BE PASSING NEAR OR TO THE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS OF ARUBA...BONAIRE AND CURACAO LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. DATA FROM THE STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER ON BOARD THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM...PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS OF VENEZUELA AND THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES ISLANDS OF ARUBA...BONAIRE AND CURACAO. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...12.7 N...65.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA |