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| #149213 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:00 AM 03.Sep.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 200 AM EDT MON SEP 03 2007 ...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE FELIX CONTINUES RAPIDLY WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LIMON HONDURAS TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR GRAND CAYMAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST OR ABOUT 295 MILES... 475 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA...AND ABOUT 555 MILES...890 KM...EAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER. FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR. A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 165 MPH...270 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN MAJOR HURRICANES AND ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...BUT FELIX IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN CATEGORY FOUR OR FIVE STATUS DURING THIS PERIOD. ALTHOUGH FELIX IS AN EXTREMELY POWERFUL HURRICANE IT HAS A VERY SMALL WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON OBSERVATIONS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 935 MB...27.61 INCHES. FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE GUAJIRA PENINSULA OF NORTHERN COLOMBIA. REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...14.0 N...74.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
