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| #149303 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 03.Sep.2007) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 2100 UTC MON SEP 03 2007 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THERE TONIGHT. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 79.5W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..250NE 120SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 79.5W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 78.7W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.5N 81.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.9N 84.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.5N 86.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.2N 88.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.6N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 19.0N 96.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 20.5N 99.5W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 79.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
