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| #149346 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 03.Sep.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 1100 PM EDT MON SEP 03 2007 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE FELIX NOW LESS THAN 12 HOURS FROM LANDFALL... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA. AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO PRINZAPOLKA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 11 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER...INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES... 235 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER. FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. A WESTWARD TRACK WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF FELIX IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF THE BORDER BETWEEN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS TOMORROW MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED IN THE FINAL HOURS PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN NICARAGUA AND MUCH OF HONDURAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...14.4 N...81.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
