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| #149373 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:58 AM 04.Sep.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007 500 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE FELIX ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE NICARAGUA-HONDURAS BORDER... ...COULD REACH CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH JUST AS IT CROSSES THE COAST... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA....FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO PRINZAPOLKA....AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER... INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES... 110 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER. FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FELIX WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA REPORTS FROM A UNITED STATES AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 155 MPH...250 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE HURRICANE REMAINS OVER WATER...AND FELIX COULD REACH CATEGORY FIVE STATUS JUST PRIOR TO CROSSING THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA THIS MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 939 MB...27.73 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN NICARAGUA AND MUCH OF HONDURAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...14.3 N...82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
