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| #149921 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:03 PM 08.Sep.2007) TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007 200 PM EDT SAT SEP 08 2007 ...GABRIELLE CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD NORTH CAROLINA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN VIRGINIA FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT ON THE ATLANTIC COAST AND TO NEW POINT COMFORT ALONG CHESAPEAKE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM SOUTH OF SURF CITY SOUTHWARD TO CAPE FEAR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.1 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES...385 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/HR. A CONTINUED NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE WILL NEAR THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA TOMORROW...BUT OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL LIKELY REACH THE COAST TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS GABRIELLE ACQUIRES MORE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM TO THE NORTH FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AS GABRIELLE PASSES NEAR OR OVER THE COAST. GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES. REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N...74.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
