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| #150421 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 12.Sep.2007) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 1500 UTC WED SEP 12 2007 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 44.6W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 44.6W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 44.2W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 13.6N 45.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.0N 47.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.3N 48.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.6N 49.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.1N 51.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N 54.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 17.0N 57.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 44.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
